Sunday, February 3, 2013

COMMENTS - 2013/02/03




WEEKLY BLOG COMMENTS – No.49
DATES: 2013/01/27– 2013/02/03
ANALYST: Domingo Trassens

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Dear Friends:

Hello! This week I would like to share with you a series of comments posted by myself in the WSJ Journal Community during the last seven days about news related to politics, economy and business in United States and the rest of the world.

The special themes of this week are:

- Immigration

- City Problems: Red-Light Camera

Next, you will find the other comments organized in the following sections: United States, Europe, The World (Asia, Africa, Middle East…), Latin America and Economy, Business and Technology.


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THEME: United States: Immigration



Subject: Immigration, Border Security, 11 million illegal people, amnesty.

My Comment:  Border Security is a key issue of today in the political arena when our authorities and lawmakers discuss new immigration programs.

However, in the case of the illegal immigration we have to differentiate two points that really are different:

1) The 11 million people living in the nation illegally today

2) A new illegal influx

First, the treatment of the current 11 million illegal immigrants requires a responsible and permanent solution: not only an amnesty.

But the influx of more illegal immigrants has to be stopped today, not tomorrow. More illegal immigrants imply more permanent problems because when the number of illegal people increases it is more difficult to stop this influx.

For this reason, this point is working on border security starting today without delay. In this case, we don’t have to wait until Congress and the White House decide on the rest of the “immigration package” because border security is part of the legislation of our sovereignty. No foreign citizen has the right to enter the country in the wrong way. (Everybody knows what happens when somebody enters in the wrong way in
Iran, North Korea, China, Russia…)

Of course, if border security is weak, a lot of people will continue violating our sovereignty day after day. We need to take all possible efforts to “continuously improve” our border security system. According to the information available I assume that during the last few years the Department of Homeland Security made efforts in that direction. This aspect of the “problem” is part of their responsibilities.

About the other point: the 11 million illegal people that today are in the country, from my point of view, the solution that President Obama proposed days ago is “weak” and unfair for all the legal immigrants that always walk on the “right lane”. (Excuse me Mr. President, but a lot of the legal immigrants walking step by step, learned to love their new country with a lot of efforts and sacrifices and they are happy for their actions.)

We need a “complete package” of the initiatives that has to include aspects like the following points:
- How many of the current illegal immigrants deserve a “pardon” after they pass a strict series of conditions. (This is a crucial issue that we have to balance in different ways but with a lot of responsibility.)
- How many of the current illegal immigrants don’t deserve any “pardon” and we have to deport them. (Will we continue giving home to foreign terrorists, religious fanatics and criminals that one day entered the country like innocent lambs?)

But all these points are not enough because the solution that we will define for the illegal immigrants that probably will receive a “pardon” has to be a new “building block” in the foundation of immigration law forever.

And here, in a humble way, I would like to add something that I didn’t hear in the current debate.
United States as a sovereign nation has the right to determine what kind of foreign people we will like to “integrate” into our society and what others we accept only as temporary residents. Part of this point is included today in the temporary visas procedure, but not all.

I said before “to integrate”. What does “integrate” imply? This is a component more complex than the current
US citizenship program. It is more than background checks, pay taxes and study English and something about the history, politics and legislation of the country.

The real “integration” of foreign citizens implies an advanced process of education and practices. For example, we can require that all illegal immigrants that will walk through the citizenship process have to demonstrate special feelings for the nation working as volunteers in public service for a determined period. This is more than a “fine”, but is something that will develop new attitudes about the country that is giving them a permanent home.

And from now, we always have to care for our border security to avoid new similar debates to the current discussion. (2013/02/01)



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THEME: United States:  City Problems: Red-Light Camera


Subject: Analysis from a WSJ journalist about the common problems of the red-light violations across of small cities and big metropolis of the country.

My Comment: The red-lights and cameras are only “tools”!

When you use technology to improve a public services (in this case: traffic intersections), you have to think with the “brain”, not with the feet.

Technology is a great tool but always before installing a red-light camera, you have to plan.

All begins with the work of the system analyst who has experience in traffic problems, speeds and all that is related to the traffic (vehicles, pedestrians…)

Questions:

1) Where we think that we need a red-light?
2) Why we need a red-light?
3) When the red-light is critical?
4) …. (All the other questions related to the technology)

5) In parallel with the questions of the “technology”, we have to make the specific questions about the traffic?
5.1) How many vehicles cross this intersection by day, hour, rush hour….?
5.2) How many pedestrians cross this ()intersection(s) by day, hour, rush hour…?
5.3) How many schools, hospitals, police stations are near this intersection?
5.4) … (And all the other questions related to this specific intersection)

6) After we have clear ideas about these 2 key issues: “why red-light?” and “what is the profile of the real traffic?”, we have to advance to another critical issue: how many red-lights are installed or we are installing more in the area (this is a basic information system of traffic).

7) Next: All the questions related to the design, development, deployment and implementation of the system, plus the budget for the project.

8) Next: we have to work in the implementation.

9) Next: we start the system and monitor it during all the time that we need to improve the system.

10) Next: every time there is a storm in the area, we have to monitor again the complete system and make all the adjustments. The same when a big truck hits at least one right turn-light…

11) In parallel with implementation we have to inform the neighborhood about the system and how it works. (Public relations)

12) More, we have to implement all that is related to the law enforcement together with police department of the city or town. Definitively, we have to create an effective system to punish the violators.

In summary, the installation of a “red-light” is more than to buy some sticks, lamps and cameras in the hardware store and after that you plug all these elements with big poster “Red Light Photo Enforced” at an intersection. Also the work has to be very professional, no the volunteering job of the craftsman of the local police department.

Very important! When we want to solve real problems from the wrong direction, we create more problems and after that we are immersed in the mess. And probably you go to jail if the young daughter of a politician is injured by a bicycle rider who didn’t respect the red-light or the animal association of the neighborhood accuses you of animal-killer when somebody kills a small cat with blue eyes on a dark night at this intersection. 1 Recommendation


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THEME: United States: Politics, Guns, Foreign Relations



Subject: Chinese hackers attack against US media: Wall Street Journal, New York Times and others during the last day. Apparently, the hackers are linked with government institutions of China who don’t want the American media to distribute news among the Chinese population about subjects linked with freedom principles across the world. 

My Comment: Press Freedom at Chinese Style!!!

Yesterday afternoon (
Thursday January 31, 2013), before I received the messages from Wall Street Journal about the attack of the Chinese hackers against the websites of the newspaper, my communication with Journal Community was practically frozen.

A month ago when the new head of the Chinese government assumed power, he remarked that he wants to improve the relationships with US and its people. We also have to remember that during 2012 he made a long tour around different places in the 
US with the same message.

Is this way the new Chinese government will use to improve the relationships with the Americans?

One smile, one attack… another smile, another attack….another smile, another attack…

Now, I understand why two days ago in an interview Chen Guangcheng, the blind Chinese dissident, said: “The leaders are new, but the team (political apparatus) is the same." (2013/02/01) 3 Recommendations



Subject: Congress hearing about Guns Control and the implications of the recent slaughter of children and teacher in one school.

My Comment: I understand the frustration of the former U.S. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords after the horrible experience she went through and I appreciate her courage to fight for her goals, but…

But the case is not to create a new law every time that we have a serious problem.

The case is to prosecute the criminals and seek legal punishment at the right time creating a general consensus that all the criminals including those who use guns to kill children and attack schools will be punished according to the laws that we have on the books.

Mountains of laws don’t solve the problems, if the prosecution of the criminals doesn’t come to the right end. (2013/01/31) 2 Recommendations



Subject: Confirmation of Senator John Kerry as the new Secretary of State.

My Comment: There are not doubts that Senator John Kerry has a strong political background. However, this is not enough to be successful in the role of US Secretary of State. He will have to assume very complicated responsibilities representing the country across the world in missions that will not be tourist tours. We have to hope that he works hard and with a humble attitude. (2013/01/29) 1 Recommendation



Subject: Agreement between US and France after the previous disagreement to cooperate in the fight against terrorist groups in Africa.

My Comment: It looks like the American troops will play as “gendarmes” of frontiers to cut the “supplies” of the militants fighting against the French in Mali and the traffic of bandits who deal in the middle of the chaos of the war. (2013/01/28) 1 Recommendation


Group Topic – Open question to members of Journal Community: Should voters have to show identification?

Subject: A survey for members of the Journal Community about identification of voters.

My Comment: When the voters don't need to show identification, their “vote” doesn't require a firm compromise as citizens. Frequently they fill the forms like when they playing lotto. (2013/01/28) 



Subject: Analysis of a columnist from Wall Street Journal about the cooperation between President Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu after both began a new term in their respective governments. (frenemies: friends and enemies).

My Comment: Sometimes enemies build better “partnerships” than friends. The necessity pushes them to be more careful in their negotiations. (2013/01/28) 1 Recommendation


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THEME: Europe



Subject: Fast end of the French military campaign in Mali.

My Comment : It looks like French President François Hollande has to hurry to leave Mali probably because the defense budget of France is exhausted after all the logistics problems they had during the first days of campaign.

Today is not possible to begin wars when you don’t transport the troops and their equipment. This was the subject of the disappointment with the
US because France asked our government for free cost transportation.  (2013/02/02)



Subject: Corruption of the current government in Spain related to the banking and financial sectors.

My Comment: One more for the ranking of the corrupt leaders of countries. What kind of explanation has Mr. Mariano Rajoy for the people who don’t have jobs and money to buy food for their children across Spain?  (2013/01/31)


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THEME: The World: Egypt
(After my first comment about the current Egyptian unrest, one member of the community answered that American Civil War destroyed the US, but the United States remains as a country till today. Through his observation, we went to a long dialogue where I tried to show him that the current Egyptian unrest is very different from the American Civil War. I deployed the subject through a series of comments step by step till I painted the current problem of Egypt and the Islamic World with extensive information and personal experiences. The explanation that you are receiving is a brief of the complete dialogue.

For example, I explained to the community member Mr. J.M. that during my last trips I had the opportunity to talk about the problem of the religious fanatics with people of different nationalities and beliefs:  Iranians, Iraqis, Turks, Kurds, Afghans, Somalis, Tunisians, Syrians, Moroccans, Eritrean, Burmese and citizens who come to West Europe from Bosnia, Kosovo, Albania, former URSS regimes and different African countries.)



Subject: The new Egyptian unrest a year after the fall of the previous regime.

My Comment: Egyptians don’t want more dictators but the chaos will destroy the country. (2013/01/30) 4 Recommendations



My Comment: Thank you for your observation, but I would like add some explanations:

First, when I say that “the chaos will destroy the country”, this expression doesn’t imply that
Egypt will be disappear from the map of the Earth.

Second: (my point) Today a civil war in
Egypt could end with terrible consequences for the Egyptians who are not Islamic Muslims because the society is divided by extreme religious beliefs. The unrest is consequence of this problem. Christians and non-religious Muslims don’t want to be pressured under the rigid rules of the Koran.

In the neighborhood of
Egypt, we saw the long civil war of Sudan that ended with the division of this African country in two different nations: South Sudan (Christian and non-religious Muslims) and North Sudan (Islamic regime). After the awful “slaughter” organized by the dictator Omar al-Bashir from Khartoum (North Sudan) the “wounds” continue opened and with frequent attacks of North Sudanese armed gangs in the territory of the current South Sudan.

Some years ago, I stayed in
Egypt and I felt personally the religious problems including during the previous regime. Now this tense situation is worse than before. The fanatic Islamic believers also don’t respect foreign citizens. (2013/01/30) 3 Recommendations



My Comment: Mr. J.M:

Again thank you for your additional comments. I will answer your questions in the way I can:

1) Before the Arab Spring, the relationships between Egypt-US governments were “respectful” but...

2) In Cairo, I read a magazine written in English with an interesting explanation about the way of thinking of President Murabak related to the US government:
2.1) Mr. Murabak said: We are friend of the US government.
2.2) But we don’t like when the
US president tries to give suggestions… (In Cairo and the Egyptian tourist areas, normally the important information is written in English, French and Arab). This magazine was only in English and I found it on a newsstand of Marriott Hotel (probably political propaganda for export?).

3) My experience on the ground: The attitude of the Egyptian security forces, policemen and airport controls with the foreign citizens is really not friendly. I had 4 incidents:
3.1) In the Giza Pyramids: Some policemen asked for money without any reason after I made my entrance.
3.2) In the Cairo Marriott Hotel exit, a policeman pushed me out of the sidewalk of the hotel like normally happens when you walk in front a police station in any city of any country ruled by a dictatorship (nobody explained the reasons).
3.3) In Cairo International Airport, they stopped me because they said one stamp in my passport was not right and they didn’t want me to take my airplane to
Frankfurt. It was a serious problem!
3.4) At one checkpoint outside a resort in the
Rea Sea: Securities forces pushed us - we were 5 foreign citizens all with legal documents - from a rented car and they forced to take a bus full of Arabs without a clear explanation. The bus driver after that received the order to “free” us at other check point.

4) A year ago, during the Libyan civil war, some European and American journalists who were trying to enter
Libya from Egypt were forced to leave a rented car and they put in jail for hours (reasons???). Also they stole all the equipment.

5) About your other points: In
Egypt, the Arab Spring revolution began with the unrest of secular and religious groups together. Now, they are divided. And the Christians like in Iraq have serious problems.

6) I don’t know if Morsi will maintain the military forces under his control for a long period. I have my doubts. But from the other side, I think probably Morsi will try to “behead” the military elite and move up low range officers who respond to his ideology. (This is a classic tactic in all the countries where the “military apparatus” is against a left-wing or religious leader who takes the power with popular power:
Iran, Venezuela, Bolivia, Argentina and others).

My last comment: Always a civil war is costly, but a civil + religious war is worse than any other civil war. Recently, I met Christian Iraqis and Somalis in
Germany who had to flee for religious reasons from these countries. (2013/01/30) 2 Recommendations



My Comment: Mr. J. M, it was a pleasure to exchange some ideas and experiences with you. I appreciate a lot the possibility to talk with people like you.

Today I have a new “approach” about the current Egyptian unrest. It is an article posted by a newspaper from
Germany. The story is about the current unrest in Egypt and it was written in the German language. Its title in English is: “It is a religious dictatorship”. The article explains how the religious powers try to convert Egypt into a “religious dictatorship”.

From my humble perspective, the current Egyptian President is only the external “face” of Islamic religious powers who want to make a new “political-social-religious experiment” like decades ago in Iran. And this is very risky for Egyptians and the free countries of the world. (Please accept my opinion, only as an opinion. I hope to be wrong).

By the way, now I am temporarily in
Germany and anxious to return home (America) but during the last months I had other experiences that gave me some “elements” to learn a little about how the extremist religious groups act. Here I met some young Iranians who flew from Iran to Europe and through conversation with them I learned about the “practices” of some Iranian institutions against people who fight for their freedom.

I have to remark that I do not have anything against the Islamic religion itself. I respect the belief of everybody. But the extremist religious groups continue in the current Millennium acting like in the Middle Ages times. And we learn about these problems talking directly with the people of other countries in personal contact. The dialogue with each individual itself is a valuable approach to a reality that we frequently don’t see through the TV.

IN SUMMARY: The extremist religious dictatorships are worse than any other dictatorship. In those regimes we lose all the dignity of a human being in a worse way than in a secular dictatorship: slaves of fanatics. (2013/01/31) 1 Recommendation


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THEME: The World: Middle East, Asia, Africa



Subject: Israeli attack on convoy of heavy weapons moving across the Syrian territory.

My Comment: Do the Israelis want to enter into the Syrian “Inferno” soon? Sometimes “patience” is better than “strikes” when nobody hits our doors.

The Israelis have to learn to shoot at the exact moment. This is the only way to celebrate victory without complaints from others. And they have the capacity to do the “job” in the best way. (2013/01/30) 3 Recommendations



Subject: In a short time after the change of government, the new Japanese authorities led by the Liberal Democratic Party have received good feedback from the population of the country.

My Comment: The government led by the Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party has to clean the corruption from the institutions and restore the good virtues of the nation. (2013/01/30) 


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THEME: Latin America



Subject: Big fire with deaths in Brazilian nightclub.

My Comment: This kind of tragedy is not new (near recent samples: Argentina, Mexico…).

Unscrupulous owners and corrupt authorities do not pay attention to the security systems and the defective electric installations till after accidents happen. Definitively both are co-responsible of the big fires that end with the lives of numerous customers. (2013/01/27) 6 Recommendations



My Comment: The news says the authorities arrested three men. Nobody talks about the inspector of the city who didn’t control the security system of the nightclub or the authority who signed the authorization to open the doors of the local nightclub. In these cases, the corrupt authorities of the city are also criminals. Everybody has to be locked in the same "cage". (2013/01/28) 1 Recommendation


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THEME: Economy, Business and Technology



Subject: Friday Dow Jones Industrials crossed the 14000 level the first time since 2007. On the same day, US Labor Department posted a poor job report for last January.

My Comment: Wall Street is happy because Dow Jones Industrials jumped over 14000 the first time since 2007. It is a good economic symptom but it doesn’t imply a real improvement in the labor sector. The monthly job report of today informed that employers only added 157,000 jobs in January and the unemployment rate grew to 7.9% from 7.8% in December. Fade cosmetics! (2013/02/01) 1 Recommendation



My Comment: A lot of smoke from Research In Motion, but US customers have to decide again:

SMOKE:
- Research in Motion changed its name to BlackBerry
- Introduced two new devices
- Presented a new smart-phone operating system dubbed BlackBerry 10.

FACTS:
- But the
US customers have to wait more months till officially the new BlackBerry devices will be on the American market. Meanwhile the first devices will sell in UK and Canada.
- Apparently marketing implementation problems in US. (Are real planning problems or excuses?)

REACTION:
- A day after BlackBerry CEO Thorsten Heins made the announcement, the RIM shares opened down 10% in Wall Street.

MY OPINION:
- Till now the investors have a lot of patience with RIM (or BlackBerry). (2013/01/31) 2 Recommendations



My Comment: “Delay” is a bad word when somebody is waiting for a hot product. The "game" of delays and delays are bad in the marketing of technology!

When I say “hot product”, I mean “smart-phones”. The smart-phones are today hot product.

My point: If a maker wants to introduce a new device in the category of a “hot product”, he cannot come to the public announcing delays upon delays.

My previous comment was not in particular related to the Blackberry device that is again in delay. I criticized the strategy of RIM (the company) - now BlackBerry - for its delays. (2013/01/31)



Subject: Financial results of Yahoo show some symptoms of business improvement of the Internet company.

My Comment: All looks like Chief Executive Marissa Mayer works hard to stabilize Yahoo. However, the results of the last quarter with an 8% profit drop and a 2% revenue increase don’t show trends. I believe we have to observe the evolution of the company at least for six months. (2013/01/29)



Subject: New version of Microsoft Office is coming to the public with cloud technology.

My Comment: It looks like the new Microsoft Office marks an important advance compared with previous versions, but we have to see the product on the ground. Frequently, the original versions of Microsoft programs have “bugs” that nobody saw till the software is in the market. Personally, till now I didn’t see the product. One point: file compatibility with Word, Excel and PowerPoint files generated in old generations of Microsoft Office. When I update a product I don’t like to lose the data bank of old files that frequently we cannot convert 100% to the new versions. Also, I would like to have the freedom to decide what files I migrate to the new Office formats and what not. (2013/01/29) 1 Recommendation



Subject: Crimes of big banks and reactions of US regulators.

My Comment: The big banks always have the “tools” to paint the “landscape” with inoffensive images from their side. And they don't accept guilt for their wrong actions. (2013/01/29) 3 Recommendations 

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